This paper measures the marginal impact of climate variability on Vietnamese households’ income. We combine survey data from the Viet Nam Household Living Standard Survey (VHLSS) database with daily climate data from the Climate Prediction Center to estimate the response function of Vietnamese households’ revenues to past climate variability. We focus on the non-linearity of the response and notably on the impacts of extremely warm days. We find that on average an additional day above 33°C is associated with a decrease of the yearly income by 1.3%. This strong effect is not specific to the agricultural sector. It is highest for the lowest deciles of the revenue distribution. Using projection scenarios under the Representation Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 and 4.5, we find an estimated impact of global warming of up to 100% of households’ revenues in 2090s in some regions (Northern region and the Red River Delta area) under RCP8.5. These strong negative impacts are also likely to be specifically concentrated on poor households and to increase revenue inequalities.
-
on the same region
Vidéopublished in January 2021Vidéopublished in December 2020Vidéopublished in December 2020Institutional documentpublished in November 2020Research documentpublished in November 2020Research documentpublished in November 2020 -
on the same topic
Research documentpublished in January 2021Vidéopublished in January 2021Research documentpublished in December 2020Vidéopublished in December 2020Vidéopublished in December 2020Institutional documentpublished in December 2020 -
from the same author
Evaluation documentpublished in December 2020Evaluation documentpublished in December 2020Evaluation documentpublished in December 2020Evaluation documentpublished in December 2020Research documentpublished in December 2020Research documentpublished in December 2020 -
from the same collection
Research documentpublished in January 2021Research documentpublished in December 2020Research documentpublished in December 2020Research documentInequality in Public Good Provision and Attitude Towards Taxation: Sub-national Evidence from Africapublished in November 2020Research documentpublished in November 2020Research documentpublished in November 2020