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Antoine Godin
Economist - Modeler
Researcher
Expertise : Macroeconomic modeling, GEMMES, economy and climate, employment, finance, structural and technological changes
Country and region : Africa, Morocco, Latin America, Colombia
Antoine Godin is responsible for the development and monitoring of AFD's program on macroeconomic modeling tools for the ecological transition, including the GEMMES model (“General Monetary and Multisectoral Macrodynamics for the Ecological Shift”). Developed by AFD, this tool is one of the few whose scenarios include economic and financial risks related to climate change and the increasing scarcity of resources that result.
Antoine Godin joined AFD in 2017 and worked on the development of an application of the GEMMES model for the economies of Colombia and Morocco. He has been head of the GEMMES Unit since July 2019. He is also continuing research on low-carbon and resilient economic development, with a focus on the changes in the job market that are part of this transition.
RESEARCH PROGRAMME
Before joining AFD, Antoine Godin contributed to the development of different methodological approaches to macroeconomic modeling, which have been built on the concept of links between economic dynamics and financial dynamics.
He was previously a consultant for the Bank of England and Professor of Financial Economics at Kingston University in London. Antoine Godin is now an Associate Economist at the Center of Economics of the University of Paris-Nord (CEPN).
He graduated as an Engineer in Applied Mathematics at the Catholic University of Leuven (Belgium), and holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Pavia (Italy). Using multi-agent stock-flow consistent models, he has studied innovation dynamics, financial instability and guaranteed employment policies.
- “Identification des vulnérabilités à la transition induites par la demande : application d’une approche systémique à l’Afrique du Sud”, with Paul Hadji-Lazaro, Revue économique, vol. 73 (2), pp. 267-301 (2022)
- “Beyond normative system boundaries in life cycle assessment: The environmental effect of income redistribution”, with Denise Almeida, Bo Weidema, Cleaner Environmental Systems, vol. 4 (2022)
- “A ‘Silent Spring’ for the Financial System? Exploring Biodiversity-Related Financial Risks in France”, with Romain Svartzman, Etienne Espagne, Julien Gauthey, Paul Hadji-Lazaro, Mathilde Salin, Thomas Allen, Joshua Berger, Julien Calas, Antone Vallier, Banque de France Working Paper (2021)
- “Capital stranding cascades: The impact of decarbonisation on productive asset utilisation”, with Louison Cahen-Fourot, Emanuele Campiglio, Eric Kemp-Benedict, Stefan Trsek, Energy Economics, vol. 103 (2021)
- “Looking for the inverted pyramid: An application using input-output networks”, with Louison Cahen-Fourot, Emanuele Campiglio, Elena Dawkins, Eric Kemp-Benedict, Ecological Economics, vol. 169 (2020)
- “Economic impacts of a glacial period: a thought experiment to assess the disconnect between econometrics and climate sciences”, with Marie-Noëlle Woillez et Gaël Giraud, Earth System Dynamics, vol. 11 (4), pp.1073-1087 (2020)
- “L’employeur en dernier ressort : une idée post-keynésienne pour assurer le plein-emploi permanent”, with Quirin Dammerer, et Dany Lang, L’économie post-keynésienne, histoire, théories et politiques (2018)
- “Monetary Policy Transmission in a Macroeconomic Agent-Based Model”, with J. Schasfoort, D. Bezemer, A. Caiani and S. Kinsella, Advances in Complex Systems, vol. 20, n° 08 (2017)
- “Redistribution in the Age of Austerity: Evidence from Europe 2006 - 2013", with M. Schneider and S. Kinsella, Applied Economic Letters, vol. 24, issue 10, pp. 672-676 (2017)
- “Changes in the Profile of Inequality across Europe since 2005: Austerity & Redistribution", with M. Schneider and S. Kinsella, European Journal of Economics and Economic Policy: Intervention, vol. 13, issue 3, pp. 354-374 (2016)
- “Agent based-stock flow consistent macroeconomics: Towards a benchmark model“, with A. Caiani, E. Caverzasi, M. Gallegati, S. Kinsella and J. Stiglitz, Journal of Economic Dynamic and Control, vol. 69, pp. 375-408 (2016)
- “Finance, Foreign (Direct) Investment and Dutch Disease. The Case of Colombia", with A. Botta and M. Missaglia, Economia Politica, vol. 33, issue 2, pp. 265-289 (2015)
- “Is It Possible to Visualise Any Stock Flow Consistent Model as a Directed Acyclic Graph?", with P. Fennell, D. O’Sullivan and S. Kinsella, Computational Economics, vol. 48, issue 2, pp. 307-316 (2015)
- “Financialization and the sub-prime crisis: a Stock-Flow Consistent model", with E. Caverzasi, European Journal of Economics and Economic Policy: Intervention, vol. 12, issue 1, pp. 73-92 (2015)
- “Post-Keynesian Stock-Flow Consistent Modeling: A Survey", with E. Caverzasi, Cambridge Journal of Economics, vol. 39, issue 1, pp. 157-187 (2015)
- “Job Guarantee: a Structuralist Perspective", Revue de la Régulation, vol. 16 (2014)
- “Innovation and Finance: a Stock Flow Consistent Analysis of Great Surges of Development", with A. Caiani and S. Lucarelli, Journal of Evolutionary Economics, vol. 24, issue 2, pp. 421-448 (2014)
- “A Stock Flow Consistent Analysis of a Schumpeterian Innovation Economy”, with A. Caiani and S. Lucarelli, Metroeconomica, vol. 65, issue 3, pp. 397-429 (2014)
- “Production Functions at the Business End: The Case of the Fiscal Compact”, with S. Kinsella, Global & Local Economic Review, vol. 17, n° 1, pp. 153-181 (2013)
- “Is Europe’s new carbon border tax fair for everyone?”, with Guilherme Magacho, The Conversation France, January 2023.
- “Low-carbon transition in Latin America: what are the risks and the main constraints?”, with Guilherme Magacho, Marion Hémar and Emmanuelle Mansart Monat, Development Matters (OECD Blog), June 2022.
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