Legal notice EU (project) The CEQ Assessment is a tool that analyzes the impact of taxation and social spending on inequality and poverty, allowing governments to assess the redistributive and poverty-reduction impact of their fiscal policy. In the first phase of the project (2018-2020), Agence Française de Développement (AFD) and the Global Development Network (GDN), in partnership with the Commitment to Equity (CEQ) Institute as well as local universities and local authorities, joined forces to implement the CEQ assessment in four African countries: Morocco, South Africa, Cameroon and Kenya.
In order to document its five-year planning process, Senegal requested the support of AFD and GDN to study the impact of fiscal and social reform scenarios. A second phase of the project, focusing on Senegal but also on methodological issues, is thus taking place over the 2023-2024 period.
Context
In the first phase of the project, Morocco, South Africa, Cameroon and Kenya were selected to participate in the research, analysis, and policy recommendations program, which significantly enhanced the evidence base for efficient and thoughtful redistributive fiscal policy that protects poor and vulnerable households from further impoverishment. Each of these countries learned from, and in some cases incorporated, the successful programmatic experiences from the others. The work program that the AFD-CEQ partnership encompasses also promoted skills sharing and capacity building between countries.
This project was part of the first phase of the Research Facility on Inequalities, coordinated by AFD and funded by the European Union over the 2017-2020 period. The first phase of the Facility has led to the conduct of 22 research projects and the publication of around 100 research papers and policy briefs.
Part of the second phase of this project focuses on Senegal, which is facing a number of important, sometimes contradictory challenges, likely to bring about lasting changes to the social contract and the redistribution of national income, such as:
- the development of gas and oil deposits (and the collection of the associated tax revenues),
- the implementation of a just energy transition partnership (JETP), which at the same time calls for the decarbonisation of growth,
- the desired extension of social protection schemes (health, retirement) to accompany a demographic transition that is still underway,
- the dismantling of energy subsidies to finance more infrastructure and develop better-targeted subsidies for poor households.
There is strong social demand for policies to reduce inequality, but this is taking place against a backdrop of regional instability, increased conflict, global inflation and global warming.
This analysis will be conducted in partnership with the Directorate General of Planning and Economic Policies of the Senegalese Ministry of Planning and the World Bank.
Objectives
The development of the CEQ Assessments, which are the centerpiece of the AFD-CEQ Institute partnership, accomplish two major objectives simultaneously:
- The implementation of CEQ Assessments builds an empirical evidence base (country by country) of the redistributive and poverty-reduction impact of fiscal policy broadly, as well as of individual fiscal elements (revenues or expenditures).
- The implementation of CEQ Assessments together with local research teams completes a knowledge and skill transfer to researchers and policy officers who will remain close to the ongoing policy debate and policy-making bodies who benefit from having this information at their disposal.
The AFD-CEQ Institute partnership therefore leaves in place the basic human infrastructure necessary for additional fiscal incidence analysis, including forward-looking policy simulation.
As part of the second phase of the project, the aim is for Senegal to master the CEQ tax incidence analysis tool and study a series of pro-poor reforms to reduce social and/or regional inequalities.
The expected deliverable is a report quantifying the impact of 5 areas of reform (cost, effects, financing).
Method
The CEQ Assessment is a comprehensive and rigorous tax and benefit incidence analysis which enables to have an active engagement with the policy community.It is designed to address the following four questions:
- How much income redistribution and poverty reduction are being accomplished through fiscal policy?
- How equalizing and pro-poor are specifics taxes and government spending?
- How effective are taxes and government spending in reducing inequality and poverty?
- What is the impact of fiscal reforms that change the size and/or progressivity of a particular tax or benefit?
In order to address these questions, experts from the CEQ working along with AFD researchers and local researchers teams implemented the CEQ methodology in Morocco, South Africa, Cameroon and Kenya, and will do so in Senegal.
Once done, the objective is to mainstream the use of CEQ Assessments:
- By reaching out to the policy community through partnerships and policy forums;
- By disseminating findings through an active communication and advocacy program, undertaken in conjunction with key partners in the research, philanthropic and social activist communities.
Results
You can find below the various publications related to this research project.
Fiscal incidence analysis reports:
- Fiscal incidence, inequality and poverty in Kenya: a CEQ assessment
- The impact of taxes and transfers on poverty and income distribution in South Africa 2014/2015
- Les effets de la politique budgétaire sur la pauvreté et les inégalités au Maroc (in French)
Policy briefs:
- Fiscal Incidence and Public Spending: Public Policy Scenarios for Colombia (January 2024)
- Distributional Impact of Fiscal Policies: A Survey of Methodological Approaches (October 2024)
- Analyse de l’incidence de la fiscalité et des dépenses sociales sur la pauvreté et les inégalités au Sénégal (January 2025, in French only)
Contacts
-
Anda DAVID
Economist, scientific coordinator of the EU-AFD Facility on Inequalities
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When Research Informs Public Action: A Toolkit to Rethink Monitoring and Evaluation
Completed
2020 - 2025
Legal notice EU (project) Education plays a crucial role in both the production of and the fight against inequalities, within a single country and between different countries. The rapid increase in the private higher-education offer in emerging and developing countries is contributing to the growth in mass higher education, but it also brings up questions concerning social cohesion. This research program seeks to analyze the link between higher education, development of the private offer, and inequalities in seven countries on three continents.
Context
In 2015, the private sector accounted for 13% of students in higher education in Vietnam and 60% in India. To the extent that these figures are reliable (higher education institutes not always being registered in some countries), they indicate the significance the private sector has taken on at this level of education. In Peru and Mexico, nearly 7 out of 10 universities are private. The development of the private sector seems to have in part involved a movement toward democratization of access to higher education in the past 15 years. But this movement is not necessarily synonymous with reduction in inequalities in access or with conditions of academic success becoming more equal. For example, in the poorest quintile of Mexico, only 1% of the age 15-24 segment pursue studies in higher education, compared to 32% in the wealthiest quintile.
This project is part of the first phase of the Research Facility on Inequalities, coordinated by AFD and funded by the European Commission's Directorate-General for International Partnerships over the 2017-2020 period. The first phase of the Facility has led to the conduct of 22 research projects and the publication of around 100 research papers and policy briefs.
Goal
The objectives in this research program are to:
- describe trends in both public and private higher education;
- identify to what extent and the way in which public policies take inequalities in higher education into consideration, and if so which inequalities;
- identify to what extent and the way in which these public policies take into account the growth and/or consolidation of the private sector of higher education, as well as its role in reducing or increasing inequalities at this level;
- detect whether the actors of private-sector higher education include the fight against inequalities in their objectives and, if so, how and why.
Method
This multidisciplinary research program (covering sociology, economics, demography and educology) is original in that it analyzes data from different sources and of different types using a purposive sample of so-called developing or emerging countries: India and Vietnam for Asia; Mexico and Peru for Latin America; Senegal, Mali and the Democratic Republic of the Congo for Africa.
This work will help establish an international research network on the theme of higher education and inequalities. The countries were selected based on the different degrees of development of their system of public and private higher education and the way this teaching is structured (co-existence between public and private, porosity between the two sectors, competition, etc.). They also differ in terms of their social structure (unequal development of the middle classes, for example). The study will compare these regions and countries: the material collected in the various countries will be of the same nature and will be analyzed using the same methodological approaches.
Results
This research will give rise to conferences and seminars, a collective publication, country-documents, policy briefs, and research articles. The expected outcomes are:
- development of a typology on the current public and private offer of higher education in the selected countries;
- development of a conceptual framework and typologies on inequalities and private higher education;
- identification, in the different countries, of policies whose goal has been to work to reduce inequalities in higher education in the course of the past 15 years;
- qualitative analysis of the criteria for access to public or private higher education, for the different categories of students or populations concerned, the conditions in which they study, the processes of certifying school diplomas, etc.;
- identification of the factors of production of inequalities in higher education, and the indicators that might be used to measure and correct them.
You may find the research papers here (in French):
- Inégalités et enseignement supérieur : entre politiques publiques et développement du secteur privé en Argentine
- Universités privées au Mexique: entre reproduction, production et réduction des inégalités
- Le paradoxe de l'enseignement supérieur privé au Sénégal: réduire les inégalités tout en les maintenant
- Des inégalités éducatives à la mise en question de l'opposition public/privé dans l'enseignement supérieur congolais, un défi documentaire et conceptuel
- Enseignement supérieur au Vietnam: privatisation, démocratisation et inégalités
- Complexité et inégalités de l'offre universitaire privée au Pérou. Regard sur la diversité sociodémographique des étudiants et des conditions d'insertion professionnelle des diplômés d'universités privées
- L'expansion de l'enseignement supérieur privé et le creusement des inégalités sociales
- Enseignement supérieur et inégalités sociales en Inde
Contact :
Linda Zanfini, Research Officer, AFD
Rohen d’Aiglepierre, Research Officer, AFD
Étienne Gérard, Research Director, IRD and Director of the CEPED (since 2014)
Contactos:
- Linda Zanfini, encargada de investigación, AFD
- Rohen d’Aiglepierre, coordinador de investigación, AFD
- Étienne Gérard, director de investigación en el IRD y director del Ceped (desde 2014)
Legal notice EU (project) The goal of agroecological intensification is to increase productivity while avoiding the adverse environmental effects of mechanized conventional agriculture that uses chemical inputs. In order to carry out this agroecological transition, national incentives can be set up. This project seeks to evaluate the impact of these incentives on income inequalities in rural areas and to compare them with other types of public policies (subsidies for chemical fertilizers, for example).
Context
Reducing poverty and income inequalities has been one of the priorities of Senegalese governments since the end of the 1990s. While progress has been made, 23% of households surveyed in 2011 still considered themselves as very poor. To reduce these inequalities and promote growth that is beneficial to the poorest, it is crucial to develop the agricultural sector. There are various possible trajectories for doing so. One is intensification of agroecology, which seems to be good choice for this development, in particular for environmental reasons. For example, several projects have shown that agroecological practices enable productivity comparable to conventional agriculture while at the same time being much more friendly to the environment and the climate. However, there are have been few studies that have quantified the impact of these practices on farmer income and especially on income inequalities, despite the fact that this is a fundamental parameter for achieving the goals of eliminating severe poverty.
This project is part of the first phase of the Research Facility on Inequalities, coordinated by AFD and funded by the European Commission's Directorate-General for International Partnerships over the 2017-2020 period. The first phase of the Facility has led to the conduct of 22 research projects and the publication of around 100 research papers and policy briefs.
Goal
The objectives of this research project are to:
- quantify the current income inequalities in rural areas in Senegal;
- analyze what impact different types of public policies that promote agroecology would have on these inequalities.
It is therefore a question of determining the type of grant for Senegal’s agricultural sector that is most likely to reduce inequalities. Different types of inequalities are studied: by gender, within a single community, and between two communities located in different agroecological zones.
Method
This project uses a multidisciplinary approach which combines participatory workshops in rural areas and a stage of bio-economic modeling of outcomes during the workshops. To do so, outcomes, and models already used in international projects (e.g. AMMA-2050) are being expanded and improved. The analysis must also focus on a sector very largely neglected in the past: the combined systems of farming and or livestock raising. Two agroecological zones are being studied under two contrasting climates: one symbolizing the current climate and the other, defined by climatologists, representing the future climate. This will help assess the relevance of agroecology faced with climate change adaptation and to quantify its contribution to the resilience of vulnerable populations.
Results
You may find the research papers here (in French) :
- Inégalités de revenu en milieu rural dans le bassin arachidier du Sénégal
- Impact de différentes politiques publiques sur l'intensification agroécologique et les inégalités de revenu dans le bassin arachidier du Sénégal
You may find the policy briefs here:
Contacts
- Philippe Roudier, Research Officer, AFD
- Moussa Sall, Research Officer, ISRA
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Analyzing the employment effects of the “green economy” transition in South Africa
Completed
2023 - 2024
Legal notice EU (project) Via their tax component and their component of transfers and public expenditure, budget policies are a crucial instrument for governments in their fight against inequalities. This research project seeks to improve understanding of the relationship between income inequalities and these budget policies in developing countries.
Context
Reduction of inequality is one of the core Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). One of the targets of SDG 10 is for income growth of a country’s poorest 40% to be higher than the national average. Reaching this objective requires setting up economic policies on public expenditures and taxes that will benefit the poorest people. At the same time, mobilizing tax revenue can play a key role in financing the SDGs, but it is important to understand under what conditions this higher level of tax revenue collection is reconcilable with the goal of reducing inequalities.
This project is part of the first phase of the Research Facility on Inequalities, coordinated by AFD and funded by the European Commission's Directorate-General for International Partnerships over the 2017-2020 period. The first phase of the Facility has led to the conduct of 22 research projects and the publication of around 100 research papers and policy briefs.
Goal
This research project seeks to improve understanding of the relationship between income inequality and budget policies in developing countries. The study is divided into three parts:
- Investigation into the redistributive impact of taxes, transfers, and public expenditure in three countries of West Africa (Côte d’Ivoire, Mali, and Senegal). The analysis will try to answer the following questions:
- Who pays taxes, and who benefits from the transfers and public expenditures?
- What is the overall impact of the tax and transfer systems on inequalities?
- What tax instrument can mobilize revenues while reducing poverty and inequality?
- Study of the effect on inequalities from applying different types of taxes in the developing countries. Is the increase in tax revenues (measured by the ratio between revenue and GDP) linked to a reduction or an increase in inequalities? The relationship between the type of taxes levied and the change in inequalities within a country and between different countries will be studied in order to identify which taxes are progressive or regressive.
- Analysis of tax compliance behaviors in Africa, by identifying how the level of inequalities affects citizens’ attitude towards taxes.
Method
This research project will use econometric quantitative studies based on household survey data and macro-economic data available on a large number of countries (Parts 2 and 3). Microsimulation tools will also be used (Part 1).
Results
You may find the research papers and the policy briefs here :
Research papers:
- Fiscal consolidation and health inequality: Evidence from infant mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa
- Collect more, spend better? Assessing the incidence of fiscal systems and public spending in three francophone West African countries
- Inequality in the public good provision and attitude towards taxation: sub-national evidence from Africa
Policy briefs:
- Collect more, spend better? Enhancing fiscal redistribution in West Africa
- Fiscal consolidation in Sub-Saharan Africa: Unequal effects on children’s health
- Building fiscal capacity in Sub-Saharan Africa: The role of local inequality
- Measuring local inequality: Insights from data on night lights
Find also the presentation of the research paper "Inequality in the public good provision and attitude towards taxation: sub-national evidence from Africa" by Marin Ferry, Senior Lecturer at Gustave Eiffel University / Associate Researcher IRD-DIAL during the fourth webinar of the Research Facility on Inequalities:
Contact
-
Hélène EHRHART
Economist
Discover other research projects
Analyzing the employment effects of the “green economy” transition in South Africa
Completed
2023 - 2024