Legal notice EU (project) Reducing spatial inequalities is a priority for the Colombian government, which uses a public policy tool – the General Participation System (GPS) – to achieve this objective. This research project aims to analyse the impact of the GPS strategy on reducing spatial inequalities in Colombia, in partnership with the research center Acción Pública.
Context
In Colombia, the oil and coal mining industry is an important source of fiscal revenues, including royalties. The Sistema General de Participaciones (or General Participation System, GPS) has therefore been set up to organise the transfer of these royalties – that come from the exploitation of non-renewable natural resources – from the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit to territorial entities. These resources finance the provision of services in the sectors of education, health, drinking water and basic sanitation, general purpose and special allocations, in the different regions of Colombia. This mechanism aims at ensuring a fair distribution of income, which is essential since spatial inequalities in terms of access to services are still significant in Colombia – as shown by the multidimensional diagnosis of inequalities carried out with the support of AFD. For example, while in urban areas, the secondary education coverage rate is close to 100%, it is 50% in rural areas.
The Strategy for monitoring, follow-up and control of the resources of the GPS is a public policy tool led by the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit to carry out control over the management of the resources transferred. This strategy, in implementation for almost 15 years, identifies alerts and cases of non-compliance with the goal of assuring continuity, coverage and quality in the provision of public services. This seeks to prevent and mitigate risks in the provision of social services throughout Colombia, which is essential for the construction of equity across the country, as well as to prevent territorial gaps from widening with regards to the institutional capacities of local governments and to the provision of social services for all populations, regardless of their location.
This project is part of the Extension of the EU-AFD Research Facility on Inequalities. Coordinated by AFD and financed by the European Commission, the Extension of the Facility will contribute to the development of public policies aimed at reducing inequalities in four countries: South Africa, Mexico, Colombia and Indonesia over the period 2021-2025.
This work is also part of AFD's dialogue with the Colombian authorities on tax reform and the reduction of spatial inequalities.
Objectives
This research project seeks to generate recommendations with the purpose of analysing and strengthening the role of the GPS tool – “the Strategy” – as a mechanism for closing territorial gaps in institutional capacities to provide social services.
Two research objectives have been identified, one in the field of diagnosis, and another in the field of recommendations:
- Identify the achievements, limitations, and challenges of the implementation of the Strategy in closing territorial gaps in the institutional capacities of territorial entities and in the provision of essential social services.
- Provide recommendations to strengthen the Strategy in its role of institutional assistance for the closing of territorial gaps.
Method
The project will focus on sectors that receive more resources from the GPS, present more risks in their provision and are the most relevant as essential social services: education, health, drinking water and basic sanitation, and indigenous reservations.
The research methodology will be mixed methods and will include:
- A document review at the level of the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit and the territorial entities selected as a case study;
- A secondary data analysis;
- In-depth interviews with a subsample of the selected territorial entities.
Research findings
You will find below the research paper related to this project:
Assessing the Impact of the Monitoring, Follow-Up, and Control Strategy on Territorial Inequalities in Colombia (November 2025)
Contact
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Anda DAVID
Economist, scientific coordinator of the EU-AFD Research Facility on Inequalities
Extreme weather events resulting from the effects of climate change coupled with a global call for countries to reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions imply that the transition to a “green” economy is non-negotiable. The societal and policy discussions have moved on to trying to understand the transition possibilities and the economic and social implications of these in each country’s context. This research project will focus on the case of South Africa.
Context
South Africa is one of the largest GHG emitting countries due to its heavy reliance on coal for most of its energy needs. The South African government is cognisant of the fact that shifting away from carbon-intensive forms of technology to more sustainable ways of production means that some jobs will be destroyed, and new ones will be created. A concern therefore for policy makers is ensuring that the transition is just and that it will not exacerbate existing inequalities.
South Africa comes into this employment transition discussion facing a triple challenge: persistent high unemployment, inequality, and poverty. This situation has worsened since the 2007-2008 financial crisis and was further exacerbated by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. This complicates the discussion of an optimal social transition to a “green” economy.
This project is part of a wider research program on the just transition in South Africa, conducted with several South African research centres and in close collaboration with the South African authorities.
See also: Research on inequalities
Goal
The project will carry out a study of the South African labour market with the aim of identifying the proportion and distribution of workers engaged in “green” jobs and “brown” jobs – in other words, jobs that are ecologically sustainable and jobs that are not. It will also examine the possibilities of transitioning labour from brown jobs into low emitting sectors.
Method
We will measure green intensity as the share of total tasks in an occupation that are green. We will also identify the share of workers in green jobs using employment information from surveys such as the Quarterly Labour Force Surveys (QLFSs) and the Census. Using industry level information on pollution, we will go further to identify occupations more likely to be in highly polluting sectors than in any other sectors. This will be described as brown jobs. Next, we will utilise occupational tasks, skills, and knowledge information from the O*NET dataset to identify important skills for brown and green jobs. This will enable us to estimate the probability of transitioning workers to green jobs. Finally, to map the location of green jobs, we will use employment information from the Census, the Community Survey, and the Spatial Tax data.
Contact:
- Anda David, research officer, AFD
Legal notice EU (project) How can green transition policies impact labour market segmentation between formal and informal sectors in Colombia? What consequences on income inequality after retirement? The Extension of the EU-AFD Research Facility on Inequalities program seeks to explore these questions in collaboration with Universidad de los Andes.
Context
The design of the Colombian pension system exacerbates income inequality and poverty after retirement age. High informality rates (over 60% of total employment, according to OECD) imply that many workers in Colombia have a low probability of qualifying to get a contributory pension. Despite the targeted support provided to the vulnerable population through pension assistance programs, this support tends to be low compared to other countries in Latin America and the Caribbean.
The relationship between informality and inequality after retirement plays a central role in the discussion of policies affecting the labour market. One dimension that has not been explored in the public policy debate is how policies aimed to mitigate climate change (and more specifically the creation of green jobs) can affect the distribution of workers between the formal and informal sectors, and how it can have an impact income inequality after retirement.
This project is part of the Extension of the EU-AFD Research Facility on Inequalities. Coordinated by AFD and financed by the European Commission, the Extension of the Facility will contribute to the development of public policies aimed at reducing inequalities in four countries: South Africa, Mexico, Colombia and Indonesia over the period 2021-2025.
Objectives
This project seeks to contribute to the public policy debate by analysing the effects that scenarios of a green economic transformation may have on income inequality after retirement, via the reallocation of workers between the formal and informal labour markets.
The project will aim to answer following questions, in the Colombian context:
- What are the environmental properties of jobs?
- How can economic transformation towards a more sustainable economy change the composition and transitions between the formal and informal sector?
- What is the impact on inequality and fiscal viability of implementing those policy scenarios?
In addition, the project will evaluate prospective scenarios during the discussion of the pension reform in the Colombian Congress and will develop a simulation model for the use of the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit.
Method
The project will be implemented in three stages:
- The research team will first characterize the environmental properties of jobs in Colombia.
- In the second stage, the team will calibrate the transition matrices between employment states and wages to introduce to the microsimulation model. In this stage, the team will propose the economic transition scenarios to simulate.
- In the final stage of the project, the team will prepare a final report with the simulation results and policy discussion.
Research findings
You will find below the different research papers related to this project:
Contact
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Anda DAVID
Economist, scientific coordinator of the EU-AFD Research Facility on Inequalities
Legal notice EU (project) How could the Social Relief Distress grant be redesigned to maximize impact on poverty and unemployment reduction, while being sustainable in the longer term? The Extension of the EU-AFD Research Facility on Inequalities will seek to answer this question in partnership with SALDRU (University of Cape Town – Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit).
Context
South Africa’s Economic Reconstruction and Recovery Plan was launched in October 2020 by the Presidency in response to the economic impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic. Besides the Presidential Employment Stimulus program, it included emergency social protection measures, among which the introduction of a special Covid-19 Social Relief of Distress grant (SRD), providing ZAR350 per month for unemployed people not covered by any other form of support. The South African government now seeks to develop options for the future of SRD grant.
This project is part of the Extension of the EU-AFD Research Facility on Inequalities. Coordinated by AFD and financed by the European Commission, the Extension of the Facility will contribute to the development of public policies aimed at reducing inequalities in four countries: South Africa, Mexico, Colombia and Indonesia over the period 2021-2025.
Objectives
The objective of this research project is to produce motivated recommendations on how the SRD should be designed going forward into the longer term, in order to maximize the impact of the grant on employment outcomes and to ensure it effectively reduces poverty, while maintaining its cost to an acceptable level:
- To maximise the impact of the grant on employment, the project needs to understand how to design and label the grant to encourage its use for job search.
- To ensure the grant effectively reduces poverty, the project must figure out the most cost-effective way to target and assess the eligibility of recipients. Moreover, poverty reductions can be scaled up by determining measures that could encourage take up among the most disadvantaged.
Once these goals have been achieved, and in order to inform public decision-making, these findings must be communicated to a number of stakeholders in government and civil society.
This project is part of a wider research program conducted with several South African research centres and in close collaboration with the South African Presidency. Four other research projects analysing the externalities of the Covid-19 stimulus policy are currently being developed as part of the first pillar of the Extension's activities in South Africa.
Method
This research project uses the model generated to conduct the 2014/2015 fiscal incidence assessment and introduces updated data for 2019-2021. It simulates five scenarios around eligibility criteria, targeting mechanisms, value, disbursement model and conditionalities and computes the potential impact on poverty and employment outcomes.
Research findings
You will find below the research paper related to this project:
It is worth noting that another paper has been published on the implications of the SRD grant, funded by AFD outside the Research Facility on Inequalities: Systemic exclusion from a South African social assistance transfer (February 2024)
Contact
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Anda DAVID
Economist, scientific coordinator of the EU-AFD Research Facility on Inequalities